Monday, 4 March 2019

Gold

Posted by Anonymous at 13:10 Labels:

Gold ended Friday's trading  with a decline of 1.64%, and at the end of the whole trading week the result was recorded at -2.52%. As a result, quotes for the first time since January 25 of the current year dropped below the psychologically important mark of $ 1,300.
The strongest influence on the dynamics of gold trading is still having the US dollar, which on Friday showed the strongest intraday growth in the last two weeks, + 0.35%. At the same time, on the basis of the entire trading week, the dollar was able to strengthen at 0.78%.
Therefore, during this week, the focus of investors will be on US domestic statistics, which can have a very strong impact on the vector of the US currency. Here, of course, the central place will be given to data on the labor market, which will be presented on Friday, since these statistics can greatly affect the actions of the Fed.
Estimating the economic calendar for the coming week we can point out the following data, which can have a strong impact on the market:
· PMI services sector from ISM, which will be presented on Tuesday. On the same day, data on new home sales in the US and PMI in the Caixin services sector in China will be known.
· Report on employment in non-farm sector from ADP. Data will be published on Wednesday. On the same day, the Beige Book of the US Federal Reserve will be published.
· ECB meeting on monetary policy and press conference by Mario Draghi. The event is scheduled for Thursday.
· Report on the US labor market, which will be presented on Friday. On the same day, a report on the trade balance of China is scheduled for publication.
In addition to economic news, geopolitical news will also have an impact on the market. Here, investors continue to focus on US-Chinese trade negotiations.
The situation on the chart for gold is not the best. Sellers managed to push through a very important support located in the range of 1303.00-1305.00. This is a strong reversal signal that makes the priority to the development of a downward movement in the medium term. But bulls still have a chance to maintain the upward price channel. To do so, they must in the shortest possible time return the price above the level of 1303.00. Intraday, despite the local dominance of the downtrend, we give priority to the scenario with the development of a correctional wave in the direction of the level of 1310.00.
 Resistance Levels: 1300.00, 1310.00, 1320.00;
 Support levels: 1290.00, 1285.00, 1280.00.
The main scenario - growth to 1310.00.
An alternative scenario - consolidation below 1290.00 and a decline to 1285.00.

Locally, the market is dominated by the bearish trend, but after such a strong decline, the likelihood of the development of a kickback movement sharply increases, especially since the news background on the market remains neutral. Therefore, within the day, we give preference to longs that should be opened at the level of 1294.80.

4 comments :

  1. valigholami198815 April 2019 at 15:14




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  2. valigholami198815 April 2019 at 15:14

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