Tuesday, 11 September 2018

Technical analysis, 11/08/18

Posted by Anonymous at 11:01 Labels:

EUR/USD
The dollar started the week on defensive. Sellers took a breather after reaching 1.1550 and the euro bounced to the 1.1639- 1.1600 zone. The EMA50 blocked bulls' advanced and held the spot in the 1.1600 region during the day and night trades. The EMA50 and the EMA200 are still moving downwards, the EMA100 continued its vertical rise. Besides, the EMA100 crossed the EMA200 upwards. MACD approached the mid-line. RSI headed upwards the overbought levels. The resistance resides at 1.1600, the support lies in at 1.1550.
Buyers need to regain 1.1600 to continue with a recovery. If they overcome this barrier, they will be able to touch 1.1650 in the coming days.
GBP/USD
The pound remained well bid on Monday. The major started the day at 1.2900. The buying momentum started to grow in the night and the pair was able to break above the EMA50 and the EMA 200. The spot spiked to the 1.3050 region. The buying pressure partly eased after that and the sterling spent the night here. The EMA200 extended its negative slide while the EMA50 and the EMA100 are growing. MACD grew, suggesting more upside in the near-future. RSI reached the overbought readings. The resistance resides at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.3000.
Bulls are likely to preserve control and will test the 1.3100 hurdle later the week.
USD/JPY
The positive sentiment prevailed on Monday, however, buyers lacked momentum to continue the upward trajectory. The EMA50 and the EMA200 limited their advance in the 111.20 region. Buyers spent the day struggling with this barrier, but failed to advance beyond it. Market participants made another attempt in the night and pushed the majors to 111.50. The RSI indicator holding near overbought readings with no directional strength. MACD remained at the mid-line. The moving averages are still neutral. The resistance lies at 111.50, the support is at 111.00.
Buyers will lose control unless they will do something with the 111.50 mark. Should they reclaim this obstacle and the way towards 111.70 will be opened. If they fail, the currency pair may soften to the 110.50 handle.
AUD/USD
The AUD/USD pair continued the negative bias in the downward channel. The AUD started the week with a recovery and moved away from 0.7100 towards 0.7150. The recovery move stalled in the 0.7130 region where the up-move lost legs and the pair turned bearish. An increased selling pressure sent the rate back towards 0.7100. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. MACD remained in the negative area. The moving averages continued their decline. The resistance stands at 0.7150, the support is at 0.7100.

Sellers might ignore the oversold conditions and try to lower the spot towards 0.7050. If buyers regain control, they will try to return the market at least to the 0.7170 region.
USDCHF
Renewed CHF weakness helped the dollar to regain traction. USD/CHF was in buy mode the whole day and was able to reverse another portion of its losses. Bulls broke the level 0.9700 and headed towards 0.9750 afterwards. They probed the level in the evening and stayed there for a night. The EMA50 started to change its course, the EMA100 and the EMA200 are moving lower. MACD entered the positive area. RSI gained upward traction and reached the overvalued levels. The resistance stands at 0.9750, the support is at 0.9700.

The currency rate approached a strong resistance zone 0.9770-0.9750. This area is reinforced with the EMA100 and the spot will probable find some offers here. If so, the US dollar may lose some ground and decline to 0.9700.

Gold
Gold remained under pressure, however, the metal did not change its location. The spot was trading in the 1200 - 1195 region the whole day. The commodity eased to 1193 in the night. MACD moved lower, reflecting the strength of bears. The RSI oscillator remained stable around 50. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs continued their negative slide. The resistance resides at 1200, the support comes in at 1190.
Gold will probable remain in the current range today.
Brent

Brent oil prices demonstrated a confident increase in the first part of Monday. The strength of the bullish sentiment was strong and the benchmark advanced to the 77.50 hurdle where Brent found fresh offers and dropped to the 76.50 area. The indicators recommend long positions. The EMA50 is neutral while the EMA100 and the EMA200 are heading north. MACD is staying close to the mid-line. RSI is stable in the 50 area. The resistance stands at 77.50, the support is at 76.50.
We will preserve our bullish outlook until we see a break below 75.50. We will buy Brent towards 78.50 until then.
DAX
DAX remained in a downward channel this week. The selling pressure eased and buyers were able to start a recovery on Monday. They pushed away from 11900 and drove DAX to the 12000 hurdle where they lost strength. Technical indicators suggest that bulls are likely to grow strong. RSI left the oversold area and MACD started to grow in the negative territory. However, the moving averages are still heading south. The resistance stands at 12000, the support is at 11900.   
The DAX index may continue its recovery and reach the 12050 area now.
Bitcoin
An increased selling pressure moved Bitcoin out of a tight range 6500-6300 on Monday. Sellers pushed the crypto currency to the 6200 level where they spent the day trying to overcome it. The handle appeared to be a hard nut to crack and sellers had nothing to do, but to form another tight channel 6300-6200. The moving averages continued moving lower. MACD decreased, suggesting more downside in the near-future. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. The resistance stands at 6600, the support is at 6200.

A convincing break through the 6200 handle is likely to accelerate the down-move back towards 6000.
Ethereum

Sellers continued to dominate and extended the negative momentum. Bears dragged the coin to the 186.000 region where the spot found some bids and recovered back to 200.000. The moving averages are heading south. MACD remained in the negative area. RSI is stable below 30. The resistance stands at 225.000, the support is at 200.000.

We assume that bulls will try to fill the Monday gap now. They are pushing Ethereum towards 225.000 and might visit this area.

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