Friday, 28 September 2018
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EUR / USD - sharp European currency decline
Yesterday the situation in EUR/USD market has changed dramatically. The sharp and continuous USD dollar strengthening changed the whole operational picture for this market. As we expected, after reaching a local maximum of $ 1.1775 the pair moved to a sharp decline. Yesterday, the decline continued and developed into the zone of the first effective support level of $ 1.1640, but the market could not hold on this mark and today the downward movement continued. In the EUR / USD market, a negative sentiment is dominant. However, the market is oversold and it is dangerous to open short positions before weekends.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
GBP / USD - broke below the support of 1.3100
To a lesser extent, the strengthening of the dollar had an impact on the British currency. Yesterday, GBP / USD dropped to the area of 1.3100, and today continues the downward trend. The mood in the market is uncertain.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
AUD / USD - decreased to the support area of 0.7200
Yesterday pressure on the Australian dollar strengthened, the pair sank into the zone of significant support - the area of 0.7200. Sales near support level are dangerous, but longs with such a strong dollar are dangerous as well.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
A sharp change in the medium-term picture in gold market
Yesterday, this market surprised many, including us. Quite unexpectedly, gold moved to a sharp weakening on the second day after the announcement of Fed news, when it seemed that the market had already played this news on Wednesday. As a result, gold immediately overcame the support of $ 1,190 and moved lower into the $ 1181 area. The medium-term picture changed dramatically - the risks of the market's drop to local minimum in the $ 1172 zone materialized. Before the weekend traders will probably fix a part of the positions that can form a local market rollback. This rollback might be used to close the losses of longs.
Trading recommendations - we are waiting for a local rollback from a minimum of $ 1180
Wednesday, 26 September 2018
FortFS Ultimate Cashback
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Trading in the financial markets involves the substantial risks. It is not uncommon that the newbies who just started to trade loss the part of own funds.
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Tuesday, 25 September 2018
FX trading signals
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EUR / USD
Yesterday, EUR/USD marked a new local three-month maximum in the zone 1.1814 however the approaching Fed meeting and overbought market forced traders to fix profits and roll back quotes lower to the area of $ 1.1730 - the zone of the nearest support. Today, the restrained growth of the pair continues, in the early European trading session, the pair rose to 1.1773. We observe the growth of volatility as market upward impulse run out of steam. Longs at current levels look risky, shorts too.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
GBP / USD
After profit fixation, British currency quotes hit the bottom in the area of 1.3100. On Monday, the pair tried to grow and strengthened into zone 1.3166. Market sentiment turns to more bearish, the resistance is located in the zone 1.3165.
Trading recommendations- accurate shorts in the zone 1.3160
AUD / USD
Market activity this week remains below the average for this market. After the growth of the previous week, the pair is consolidating in the area of 0.7290. There is a strong resistance zone located here. The market is gradually declining, and the nearest support zone is located in the area of 0.7210.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
Gold
Yesterday we observed very volatile session in the gold market. Gold gained in the $ 1203 zone, but could not gain a foothold and fell into the $ 1198 zone. Today, trading began above support $ 1,196, but the bulls are experiencing some difficulties with overcoming the $ 1,200 mark. The market seems to consolidates before the release of the most important information of the week, the decision of the Fed on the rate and subsequent comments.
Trading recommendations- accurate longs in the $ 1196 area
Monday, 24 September 2018
Crypto TS
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Bitcoin has approached resistance around $6760
The first session of new week is starting positively for the first crypto currency, for the last weekend bitcoin continued to gain, the market quotes rose to $ 6700, but then corrected after partial fixation of profits. Capitalization of the entire market continued to grow - on Monday, capitalization set an amount around 221 billion dollars. The support level is located in the $ 6500 zone.
Trade recommendations- longs in the $ 6500 support area
Ethereum is starting the new week positively
On Friday there was an interesting event in the crypto market that we want to mention. On Friday for some time, ether lost its title of the second crypto market in term of capitalization. Amid the rapid growth, ripple briefly exceeded the capitalization of ether and took second place in the list. However, profit fixation in Ripple market led to the loss of this position and the market returned to usual list. On Monday Ripple is correcting and declining down to $0.50. As for ether market the new trading session is starting positively. From a technical point of view, ether has approached the strategic resistance zone - the $ 250 area. Support is located in the $ 230 area. This week we expect the accumulation of the necessary volume and more attempts for the storming of the $ 250 zone.
Trade recommendations- longs at current levels
FX trading signals
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EUR / USD
The beginning of the new week is very technical in the market of the main currency pair EUR / USD. The trend of USD dollar decline has resumed. On Friday, the players recorded a profit after the impressive growth and pulled quotes lower. The market fell into the zone $ 1.1730, where the support area starts at $ 1.1730- $ 1.1720. The new trading week begins positive as EUR/USD price gained in the area of 1.1759 and continues to grow. In the area of 1.1760 tactical local resistance runs, and the current upward target is located in the zone of the highs of the previous week 1.1795-1.1800.
Trade recommendations- longs at current levels
GBP / USD
On Friday, the market updated local highs in the 1.3300 area. Before the weekend, the players fixed their profits and pulled back the quotes to the area of 1.3050. The beginning of the new trading week is positive, the market is gaining in the zone 1.3120.
Trade recommendations- longs at current levels
AUD / USD
The growth of the Australian currency brought AUD / USD quotes in the area of 0.7300. In this area, a medium-term, downward resistance line passes. Longs seem dangerous in this area. The closest strategic support zone is located in the area of 0.7200. Long positions should be considered only after a pullback into this area (0.7200).
Trading recommendations - buy when the market adjusts into the 0.7200 area
Gold
Friday's fixation of profits pulled back quotes down to the lower zone of the formed side channel $ 1211- $ 1191. The market starts a new week relying on support in the area of $ 1196 - a good springboard for the development of the upward movement.
Trade recommendations- longs at current levels with stops below $1196
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Friday, 21 September 2018
FOREX TS
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EUR / USD moved into 3-month highs
Yesterday, the main pair of the FX market finally reached the target level of the current upward momentum. On declining USD dollar, EUR / USD hit $ 1.1783 level, but the market closed the day lower at $ 1.1775. The market made a massive possitive candle, which broke through all the resistance lines on the bulls way. Bulls will try to gain a foothold at $ 1.1775 - but can be dropped from this zone. In this case, 1.1765 mark will be the first support zone, then the local support is located in the area 1.1730-1.1715. We need to be careful with the opening of long positions at current levels (1.1775), before the weekend traders can fix part of the profit and pull back the market lower.
Trading recommendations-, we expect a local adjustment before the weekend and remain out of the market
GBP / USD hit a two-month high
Yesterday, the growth of the British currency continued, as GBP / USD market reached the level of 1.3300 - the zone of two-month highs. Already today, the pair is realizing a local pullback; the market has fallen into the 1.3200 area. This is the nearest operational support. However, opening long positions at these levels can be dangerous as there is a correction ahead that may continue to fall into the area of 1.3100.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
AUD / USD showed significant growth this week
On the background of weaker USD dollar, the Australian currency gained in the area of 0.7300. However, US dollar is oversold and on Friday we see the risks of developing a corrective rollback on the dollar index. In this sense, the opening of long positions today can be dangerous as well, shorts in such a strong bull market are much more dangerous so we remain out of the market. The nearest support zone is 0.7250.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
Gold managed to finally gain a foothold above the level of $ 1206
Yesterday, the bulls managed to finally overcome the $ 1206 strategic zone, which is a big victory for the buyers. Now this is a strong support zone for the market. If the bulls can close the trading week above this zone, it will also be a very positive signal for the market. The nearest resistance is the area 1212-1213.
Trading recommendations- careful purchases in the $ 1206 zone
Wednesday, 19 September 2018
Tuesday, 18 September 2018
Crypto TS
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Bitcoin
During the three-day assault, the first crypto currency failed to overcome the level of $ 6,500. This is the first serious resistance that is ahead of the market, with attempts at growth after massive sales on September 4-5. Today quotes are traded at levels of $6222; the market is falling into the area of strategic support, which ranges from $ 6000 to $ 6200.
Trade recommendations- longs at current levels
Ethereum
On Monday, ether began to decline. The market retreated from the $ 220 mark and fell into the $ 195 zone. The trading situation is not defined, we expect further developments and remain out of the market.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
Forex TS
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EUR / USD
For last 24 hours, the situation on the FOREX currency market has not changed much. We observe a steady middle-term trend for US currency weakening. Yesterday, the dollar index fell to monthly lows in the area of 93.90 points. This is the strongest support level, keeping the market above since May 2018.We do not expect a rapid move of the market this time as well. The new trading session of the dollar market begins with corrective growth. The index rose to the area of 94.11 points. Against this background, the European currency gained to four-week highs. This is the $ 1.1717 zone. On Tuesday, EUR / USD adjusts to the area of $ 1.1670. The support zone is located in the area of 1.1660-1.1640.
Trade recommendations- longs in the area of 1.1660-1.1640.
GBP / USD
The growth of the British currency continues. Yesterday the pair was able to gain a foothold above the level of 1.3090. The next target of the current upward momentum in the region is 1.3200. The market zone 1.3100 is now the first support zone.
Trade recommendations- longs in the area of 1.3100
AUD / USD
Australian currency continues to trade volatile. Yesterday, AUD / USD returned to the zone 0.7165-0.7200. This is a strong resistance zone. Overcoming this zone, will open the way to the area of 0.7260. However, there is a high probability that the market will not pass this area on the background of deteriorating trade relations between the US and China. We remain out of the market so far and observe the development of the situation.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
Gold
Gold continues to trade volatile as well. Yesterday, gold bounced off $ 1191 level and was able to consolidate into the $ 1206 area, however, the bulls failed to take this mark. Today, the market opened the trading day with a decline and adjusted lower to $ 1196. This is a support zone that has remained behind the bulls and now they are trying to organize an interception of the initiative based on this level. In general, this is a good zone for opening long positions.
Trading recommendations- longs in the $ 1196 zone
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Monday, 17 September 2018
Thursday, 13 September 2018
Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 13 of September 2018, 12:00 GMT+3
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Wednesday, 12 September 2018
Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 12 of September 2018, 12:00 GMT+3
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EUR / USD - the market is waiting for ECB meeting, the risk of move below $1.1515 has strengthened amid more bullish USD sentiment
Yesterday the main FX currency pair market held a very volatile and interesting trading session. Bounced off from $ 1.1555 - the nearest support zone, EUR / USD gained up to the resistance $ 1.1640, which was followed by a corrective pullback on profit taking. Everything happened very technically and according to our expectations. Tuesday economic data had a minimal impact on the dynamics of the pair. Trading goes under the overwhelming influence of the US dollar. Today, the pair retains a positive sentiment, but we are witnessing the signs of USD dollar readiness to move to the growth. The dollar index is held above the strong support of 94.80 points. Move below this mark will indicate a weakening of the dollar for several weeks ahead. On the contrary, if this week the dollar index do not break down through this zone, we will see the next wave of USD strengthening ahead.
For EUR / USD, this means that the current week is also decisive in the medium term. If the pair moves above $ 1.1640 mark, in the long run the market will go up to $ 1.1755 -the upper limit of the medium-range. However, this week the market expects important news events, a meeting of the European regulator. It is likely that after the speech of ECB head, which should outline regulator plans and assess the state of the European economy, the market will move to decisive action. Until then, we can expect a gradual decline in trading activity and a decrease in volatility. We also recommend reducing the number of open positions. 1.1530-1.1515 is the zone to watch -if pulling back 1.1530-1.1515, go careful longs with short stops under 1.1515, with the passage 1.1640 - increase long positions.
Trade recommendations - careful longs in the zone 1.1530-1.1515
GBP / USD - to keep the pace, bulls should close the week above 1.3100
Corrective pullback to 1.2670-1.3100, in our opinion, has exhausted. In order for the bulls to indicate the intention to move higher, they should close the week above the level of 1.3100. The question is if they have the forces to accomplish it? Yesterday we observed high volatility, but the day was closed neutrally. The market consolidates in the narrow range of 1.2950-1.3100. Support is located in the area of 1.2950. As events continue to develop, it is not yet clear. In order to the storm 1.3100 (if the bulls decide on such a step), the market should form an operational space and pulls back lower to zone 1.2970-1.2950. We will wait for the market to adjust to this area to open careful long positions with short stops.
Trade recommendations- longs in the zone 1.2960-1.2950
AUD / USD - the market outlined the medium-term intention to sell the Australian dollar
The Australian dollar is trading under pressure. Consolidation is taking place in the area of 0.7100. The first tactical resistance in the area of 0.7130. The next resistance zone is in the area of 0.7160. The outlook is negative - the market indicated a medium-term intention to sell the Australian currency. Which, however, does not exclude the possibility of corrective pullback up to 0.7160.
Trading recommendations - shorts in the zone 0.7130 and 0.7160
Gold-fierce struggle for the level of $1196
Interesting and volatile trades on gold continue. Now the fight goes for the level of $ 1,196. On Tuesday, the buyers managed to return quotes above this mark. However, already today in Asian trading, the bears dropped the quotes lower in the zone 1192 - denoting a new local minimum. Thus, the market formed a narrow descending channel. Buyers need to close the day above $ 1196 to level this bearish pattern. Let's see how events will develop. The first real support in the $ 1190 area. If the bulls cannot close the day above $ 1196, we should consider closing most of the long positions that were opened above.
Trade recommendations - watch the level of $ 1196
Tuesday, 11 September 2018
Technical analysis, 11/08/18
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EUR/USD
The dollar started the week on defensive. Sellers took a breather after reaching 1.1550 and the euro bounced to the 1.1639- 1.1600 zone. The EMA50 blocked bulls' advanced and held the spot in the 1.1600 region during the day and night trades. The EMA50 and the EMA200 are still moving downwards, the EMA100 continued its vertical rise. Besides, the EMA100 crossed the EMA200 upwards. MACD approached the mid-line. RSI headed upwards the overbought levels. The resistance resides at 1.1600, the support lies in at 1.1550.
Buyers need to regain 1.1600 to continue with a recovery. If they overcome this barrier, they will be able to touch 1.1650 in the coming days.
GBP/USD
The pound remained well bid on Monday. The major started the day at 1.2900. The buying momentum started to grow in the night and the pair was able to break above the EMA50 and the EMA 200. The spot spiked to the 1.3050 region. The buying pressure partly eased after that and the sterling spent the night here. The EMA200 extended its negative slide while the EMA50 and the EMA100 are growing. MACD grew, suggesting more upside in the near-future. RSI reached the overbought readings. The resistance resides at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.3000.
Bulls are likely to preserve control and will test the 1.3100 hurdle later the week.
USD/JPY
The positive sentiment prevailed on Monday, however, buyers lacked momentum to continue the upward trajectory. The EMA50 and the EMA200 limited their advance in the 111.20 region. Buyers spent the day struggling with this barrier, but failed to advance beyond it. Market participants made another attempt in the night and pushed the majors to 111.50. The RSI indicator holding near overbought readings with no directional strength. MACD remained at the mid-line. The moving averages are still neutral. The resistance lies at 111.50, the support is at 111.00.
Buyers will lose control unless they will do something with the 111.50 mark. Should they reclaim this obstacle and the way towards 111.70 will be opened. If they fail, the currency pair may soften to the 110.50 handle.
AUD/USD
The AUD/USD pair continued the negative bias in the downward channel. The AUD started the week with a recovery and moved away from 0.7100 towards 0.7150. The recovery move stalled in the 0.7130 region where the up-move lost legs and the pair turned bearish. An increased selling pressure sent the rate back towards 0.7100. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. MACD remained in the negative area. The moving averages continued their decline. The resistance stands at 0.7150, the support is at 0.7100.
Sellers might ignore the oversold conditions and try to lower the spot towards 0.7050. If buyers regain control, they will try to return the market at least to the 0.7170 region.
USDCHF
Renewed CHF weakness helped the dollar to regain traction. USD/CHF was in buy mode the whole day and was able to reverse another portion of its losses. Bulls broke the level 0.9700 and headed towards 0.9750 afterwards. They probed the level in the evening and stayed there for a night. The EMA50 started to change its course, the EMA100 and the EMA200 are moving lower. MACD entered the positive area. RSI gained upward traction and reached the overvalued levels. The resistance stands at 0.9750, the support is at 0.9700.
The currency rate approached a strong resistance zone 0.9770-0.9750. This area is reinforced with the EMA100 and the spot will probable find some offers here. If so, the US dollar may lose some ground and decline to 0.9700.
Gold
Gold remained under pressure, however, the metal did not change its location. The spot was trading in the 1200 - 1195 region the whole day. The commodity eased to 1193 in the night. MACD moved lower, reflecting the strength of bears. The RSI oscillator remained stable around 50. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs continued their negative slide. The resistance resides at 1200, the support comes in at 1190.
Gold will probable remain in the current range today.
Brent
Brent oil prices demonstrated a confident increase in the first part of Monday. The strength of the bullish sentiment was strong and the benchmark advanced to the 77.50 hurdle where Brent found fresh offers and dropped to the 76.50 area. The indicators recommend long positions. The EMA50 is neutral while the EMA100 and the EMA200 are heading north. MACD is staying close to the mid-line. RSI is stable in the 50 area. The resistance stands at 77.50, the support is at 76.50.
We will preserve our bullish outlook until we see a break below 75.50. We will buy Brent towards 78.50 until then.
DAX
DAX remained in a downward channel this week. The selling pressure eased and buyers were able to start a recovery on Monday. They pushed away from 11900 and drove DAX to the 12000 hurdle where they lost strength. Technical indicators suggest that bulls are likely to grow strong. RSI left the oversold area and MACD started to grow in the negative territory. However, the moving averages are still heading south. The resistance stands at 12000, the support is at 11900.
The DAX index may continue its recovery and reach the 12050 area now.
Bitcoin
An increased selling pressure moved Bitcoin out of a tight range 6500-6300 on Monday. Sellers pushed the crypto currency to the 6200 level where they spent the day trying to overcome it. The handle appeared to be a hard nut to crack and sellers had nothing to do, but to form another tight channel 6300-6200. The moving averages continued moving lower. MACD decreased, suggesting more downside in the near-future. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. The resistance stands at 6600, the support is at 6200.
A convincing break through the 6200 handle is likely to accelerate the down-move back towards 6000.
Ethereum
Sellers continued to dominate and extended the negative momentum. Bears dragged the coin to the 186.000 region where the spot found some bids and recovered back to 200.000. The moving averages are heading south. MACD remained in the negative area. RSI is stable below 30. The resistance stands at 225.000, the support is at 200.000.
We assume that bulls will try to fill the Monday gap now. They are pushing Ethereum towards 225.000 and might visit this area.
Monday, 10 September 2018
Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 10 of September 2018, 15:00 GMT+3
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Weekly trading statistics from FortFS 03.09 - 09.09
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Thursday, 6 September 2018
Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 06 of September 2018, 12:00 GMT+3
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Bitcoin dropped into the $ 6,300 zone, good conditions for longs
A sharp drop in the bitcoin market led quotes to the first support zone around $ 6,700. However, this level also could not resist, the market moved lower and the price could stop only in the $ 6310 zone. Thus, during the last decline, the market returned to the lower border of the sideway channel $ 6780- $ 6000. The market unloaded overbought, and the proximity of $6000 strategic zone creates the conditions for the safe middle-term longs.
Trading recommendations - longs at current levels and around $ 6000
Ethereum has fallen to the year lows
Ether market fell much more than the market of the first crypto currency. Yesterday, the ether price dropped to the zone of 200 for one coin. These are the minimums of September 2017. Despite the strong decline, the market created unique conditions for opening medium-term longs.
Trade recommendations- longs in the current zone
Opened sell and buy clients positions ratio Latest data for 06 of September 2018, 10:00 (GMT+3)
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Wednesday, 5 September 2018
Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 05 of September 2018, 12:00 GMT+3
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FOREX TS
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EUR / USD
On Tuesday, the situation in the FOREX market continued to develop in favor of USD dollar. Local corrective pullback of the dollar was stopped in the zone of the first support 95.22-95.17 points. The resistance is located in the area of 95.65 points. The main pair of the FOREX currency market- EUR/USD on Tuesday tested support in the zone $1.1550. As we discussed earlier $ 1.1550- $ 1.1515 - this is a stable resistance zone, and we do not expect that the market will quickly pass this zone. Rather, we should expect a local rebound from this zone.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
GBP / USD
Pressure on the British pound remains. Yesterday, a new daily low in the area of 1.2800 was designated, but the level of support was not breached. Our forecast remains the same, a confident passage of this level will open the way down to zone 1.2725.
Trading recommendations - shorts once zone 1.2820 gets broken
AUD / USD
Bears attempts to break through the long-term support of 0.7160 and bring the market lower so far have not led to success. We observe a false breakdown and a long candle shadow on the daily chart. The pair is oversold and it is quite possible to form a corrective pullback from this zone. Resistance is located in the area of 0.7200.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
Gold
The pressure on gold market led the quotes in the area of 1190, where the session minimum was marked, and the downward momentum was exhausted. Today gold is adjusting, now the area $ 1194- $ 1196 is the area of resistance. To seize the initiative, buyers should try to quickly return quotes above the $ 1196 level. Otherwise, the pressure on this market will increase.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
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Tuesday, 4 September 2018
Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 04 of September 2018, 12:00 GMT+3
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FOREX TS
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EUR / USD
On Monday, at the late European session, US dollar moved to upward impulse. USD dollar index broke through the tactical resistance 94.20 and moved into open operational space. Today, in the early European trading, USD dollar index continues to grow and is trading in zone 95.48. The technical picture assumes the continuation of the upward dynamics for the dollar, which will put pressure on all the major currencies in the FOREX market. On this background, EUR / USD continued to decline as we had expected in previous review. EUR / USD fell into zone $1.1550 - the first real market support in this region. The situation is quite interesting; as we see a change in the medium-term expectations for the euro, now in the market priority is downward move and shorts amid strengthening dollar. It should be specially noted the strength of 1.1550-1.1515 zone, historically a very strong support zone. Now new shorts on these levels are extremely dangerous, and can be relevant only after these levels broken.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
GBP / USD
Pressure on the British currency is increasing. On Monday, the pair broke through support of 1.2880. The pair is approaching local support 1.2815. The breakthrough of this zone will open the way much lower, down to the area of 1.2720.
Trading recommendations - shorts on local pullbacks or once zone 1.2815 broken
AUD / USD
On Monday, the market completely destroyed a local market pullback, when after Friday's decline the Australian dollar gained up to the first local support 0.7205. The resumed pressure of sellers led the market back to the zone of historically strong mark of 0.7160. This zone twice held the market from further decline in 2016. However, a confident breakthrough in this area will send quotes to completely new ranges with a target of 0.6895. While we remain out of the market and expect the situation to develop, however we focus on more shorts once the mark of 0.7160 falls.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
Gold
After four days of fighting for the psychological mark of $ 1200 and consolidation in a narrow range of $ 1206- $ 1196, gold bulls are retreating. Yesterday quotes moved to the area of the nearest local support $ 1196, and today sellers increase the momentum using the dollar's growth. A confident passage of this zone will open the way to the area of $ 1180.
Trading recommendations - accurate shorts (close stop orders) once market breaks through support zone 1196-1195
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Monday, 3 September 2018
Weekly trading statistics from FortFS 27.08 - 02.09
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Cryptocurrency price dynamics for 03 of September 2018, 12:00 GMT+3
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Crypto TS, 03/09/18
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Bitcoin
On the weekend, bitcoin continued to gain. The market overcame the $ 7060 resistance mark and moved into new price range. Now the resistance level is located in the $ 7280 area, and support is the area of the former resistance is $ 7070- $ 7100.
Trading recommendations- careful longs in the $ 7100 area
Ethereum
Over the weekend, ether gained up to $ 295 area, this is the zone of strategic resistance and the upper boundary of the medium-range $ 265- $ 295. However, the market failed to stay at these levels, followed by profit taking and the price pullback in the $ 285 zone. We can open longs on deeper market pullback.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
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