Tuesday, 31 July 2018
Crypto TS,31/07/18
Bitcoin
There is a certain quietness in the bitcoin market. Quotes rested in the $ 8200- $ 8400 area, which is the main resistance zone after the recent mini-rally of the market. At the same time, all local pullbacks are bought out by bulls, which try to keep quotes above $ 8000. The sideway channel was formed with limits $ 8400- $ 7770. Perhaps the market will spend some time in this zone. Our recommendations – longs on pullbacks down to the support zone $ 7770.
Ethereum
In the ether market, the operational situation deteriorated somewhat. Bulls failed to break above $ 480 for five weeks and also did not hold positions in the $ 450 zone. When going down below $ 440, it is worth considering selling with a target in the $ 420 zone
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Monday, 30 July 2018
FOREX TS
EUR / USD
The situation develops according to our outlook; the pair bounced off the top of the range and declined to support level $ 1.1640. Shorts into this zone are dangerous. We can consider accurate longs, but short-term moves below $ 1.1640 quite possible amid high volatility. Friday strong data on US GDP did not put pressure on the pair - a positive sign.
Trade recommendations- longs in the zone 1.1640
GBP / USD
The pair fell into the zone of the first local support 1.3090. The pressure in this market persists - the previous week was closed by a strong bearish signal. With the confident passage of the market zone 1.3090-1.3085 we might join the movement with the first goal of 1.3000 and below.
Trading recommendations - shorts when the market pulls back higher
USD / JPU
The pair entered consolidation in the resistance zone JPY110.50-JPY111.20. Level 111.15 remains relevant for shorts, but there are risks of higher price volatility this week. We maintain a negative outlook for this market, but we recommend reducing the volume of short positions.
Trading recommendations-shorts from zone 111.15-111.20
AUD / USD
The situation in this market remains unchanged for several weeks. The pair remains in the consolidation of $ 0.7447- $ 0.7337. The median support zone remains the same as 0.7375. From these levels, we can open long positions, or build up existing ones.
Trading recommendations - longs in the 0.7377 zone and below
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Friday, 27 July 2018
Thursday, 26 July 2018
Crypto TS. 26/07/18
Bitcoin
The situation on the bitcoin market remains stable and technically sound - after the upward momentum and the mini rally, quotes reached $ 8400, the nearest significant resistance, from which the market corrected. It is characteristic that the price pullback was insignificant, the quotes dropped into the zone $ 8145, where the bulls moved for new longs. The whole situation indicates a further continuation of growth, and in this sense, it is expedient to accumulate longs in this zone. The next target of the market is located at $ 9700.
Trade recommendations - longs at current levels
Ethereum
The last three trading sessions the ether market is storming the $ 480 mark. It is characteristic that last week the market already took this zone. However, sharp shorts led the price down to the mark of $ 440. Now bulls need to do all the work again. However, the volume seems to be accumulated and the upward surge will be strong. We use pullbacks to accumulate longs.
Trading recommendations - longs with the current price and with the move lower
https://www.fortfs.com
FOREX TS. 26/07/18
EUR / USD
In the main pair of the FOREX currency market, the situation has practically not changed in the last 24 hours. The market is still accumulating volumes in a contracting triangular consolidation - in its upper range, trading above the strong support level of $ 1.1640. Yesterday the pair approached the upper border of this range-zone $ 1.1740. Hence it is advisable to consider shorts in the direction of $ 1.1640 zone.
Trading recommendations- shorts in the $ 1.1740 zone with short stops
GBP / USD
Weakness of the American currency led the British pound up to the $ 1.3200 zone, this is a strong resistance level, and besides there is a descending resistance line of the downward channel, in which the market is traded for the second month. Somewhere in this zone, we can expect activation of sales, and the transition of bears into a counterattack. The technical picture on the dollar index suggests that dollar longs will soon come back in the market and will increase pressure on the pound.
Trading recommendations - accurate shorts from the $ 1.3200 mark
USD / JPU
Weakness of the dollar and news that the Bank of Japan is going to gradually turn off the super soft monetary policy, led the quotes of the pair in the zone of two weekly lows. Yesterday the breakthrough of the mark JPY111.15-JPY110.10 was completed and the pair fell into the zone JPY110.50, where the downward momentum was exhausted. Now we can consider shorts from the former support, and now the resistance in the zone JPY111.10-JPY111.15.
Trading recommendations-shorts with limit orders from resistance JPY 111.10-JPY 111.15
AUD / USD
The pair remains in the consolidation of $ 0.7447- $ 0.7337. Yesterday, the upper limit of this range was tested and as expected, another downward move followed. The support area remains the same it is 0.7397-0.7377 zone. From these levels, we can open longs, if market happens to move lower we can accumulate longs.
Trading recommendations - longs in the 0.7377 zone and below
https://www.fortfs.com
Wednesday, 25 July 2018
Forex TS, 25/07/18
EUR / USD
On the market of the main FX pair, the situation has practically not changed in the last 24 hours. The market is still in a contracting triangular consolidation - in its upper range, trading above the strong support level of $ 1.1640. It's dangerous to go longs at these levels, and to go short as well. It is clear that the breakout from the consolidation will be very powerful, but that's the main question, as always, in which direction the market will go. Our recommendations – to stay out of the market, however if the market falls to the $ 1.1640 area, then longs will become relevant again.
Trading recommendations- out of the market, longs in the zone 1.1640
GBP / USD
As we expected yesterday, the weakness of the US currency led the British pound up to the $ 1.3140 zone, here comes the upper limit of the downward channel in which the market traded for the second month. Somewhere in this zone, we can expect sales activation, and bears transition into a counterattack. However, the weakness of the US dollar can slow this process somewhat, and then the downward momentum may be limited. In any case, storming the upper boundary of the channel can not develop at current levels without a local rollback.
Trading recommendations - accurate shorts from 1.3160
USD / JPU
Local weakness of the dollar and news that the Bank of Japan is going to gradually turn off the soft monetary policy, led the quotes of the pair in the zone of two weekly lows. However, the level of JPY111.25 is a strong support, and it has stopped the market decline. Taking into account the change in mid-term expectations, we recommend considering opening short positions at current levels and when the market pulls back higher to the zone JPY111.60. When levels JPY111.25 breaks, the target zone will be JPY110.50.
Trading recommendations-shorts in the current zone and when the market pulls back into the zone JPY111.45-JPY111.60
AUD / USD
The pair remains in the consolidation of $ 0.7447- $ 0.7337 range. It is characteristic that for six weeks, there is a stable demand zone below the 0.7377 mark, which means that the Australian currency is heavily oversold and one can expect the consolidation break in the upper direction, hence it is advisable to accumulate longs.
Trading recommendations - longs at current market levels, in the 0.7377 zone and below
https://www.fortfs.com
Tuesday, 24 July 2018
It is not to late to buy bitcoin again
On Tuesday, July 24, the price of bitcoin is located above the round mark of 8,000 dollars, trading through the $ 8200 zone, levels that the market had not seen since May 2018, more than two months.
The price of the first and most important crypto currency in the world increased by more than 400 US dollars in the first half of Thursday trading session to reach a maximum of 8,200 US dollars (bitfinex).
Thus, today the market has overcome an important level of resistance $ 7700- $ 7800, and the level of support is now located in the $ 8000 zone. Positive sign for the market is the growth of daily trading volumes – according to Bitfinex exchange data, BTC / USD volume exceeding $ 350 million for a 24-hour period. In addition to the growing volumes, there is a whole list of positive drivers, which makes it possible to say that the growth of the crypto currency market and, above all, the bitcoin market will continue.
Let's start with the fact that on June 19, the number of Lighting channels for bitcoins for the first time exceeded 10 thousand. The technology allows to make transactions through payment channels over the blockchain network and is considered to be a solution to the problem of scalability of the first crypto currency. Over the past month, the number of such channels has increased by 63%.
Facebook, which previously banned the advertising of crypto currency, placed a new ads of Coinbase crypto exchange. The crypto community has welcomed this news very positively. Further, Chicago Mercantile Exchange CME reported that the average daily trading volume of bitcoin futures in the second quarter of 2018 increased by 93%. Finally, the government of South Korea created an agency to monitor the crypto-currency market and thus South Korea become the first country who seek to integrate bitcoin in its financial and juridical systems.
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FOREX TS, 24/07/18
EUR / USD
After Stephen Mnuchin's statements on Monday, US currency recovered almost all of the losses that the market experienced last Friday after the statement of the US president. For this development all the technical conditions were present, the pair strengthened to the upper boundary of the narrowing triangular range - zone 1.1720-1.1750. Support is located in the zone 1.1640-1.1680. We can consider accurate longs in the area of strategic balance support 1.1640.
Trading recommendations- short-term longs in the zone 1.1640
GBP / USD
The pair continues to decline in a narrow downward channel. Last Thursday, a new annual low, the area of 1.3000, was designated, but on Friday, there was a sharp weakening of the dollar and GBP returned to zone 1.3144. The market is trying to gain a foothold in the support zone 1.3090. With the market growth in the zone 1.3180-1.3175, on can consider short positions.
Trading recommendations - shorts in the zone 1.3180-1.3175
AUD / USD
The medium-term six-week consolidation is maintained in this market. Yesterday on Monday, the pair reached the upper limit of the range and pulled back below. Today the price is at the level of 0.7374. The actuality of longs in this zone is maintained and become more interesting as the market moves lower to the zone of 0.7340.
Trading recommendations- longs in the area 0.7370
Gold
A new local bottom for gold was indicated in the $ 1220 zone. For two weeks, buyers bought out all the attempts of the market to go lower. The market is oversold and shorts at this level are dangerous. We can consider accurate longs below $ 1220 or stay out of the market.
Trading recommendation – careful longs around $1220 and lower
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Monday, 23 July 2018
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Thursday, 19 July 2018
FX TS, 19/07/18
EUR / USD
USD dollar is trading at 10-month highs. Yesterday, weaker US data on the real estate market led to a local USD dollar adjustment - the players partially fixed the profit. Today, the growth of the dollar continues. On Wednesday, EUR / USD traded volatile, - the bulls tried to hold the line around 1.1640 mark. Today, the pressure remains, in the early European trading session, the pair is moving lower and trading at 1.1610.
At higher timeframes, contracting triangular consolidation is formed. Shorts are becoming a very dangerous business, as well as longs in this market conditions. Besides we expect the market volatility to rise before the weekend. A short-term action plan is to stay out of the market.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
GBP / USD
Yesterday, the pair marked the early low at around 1.3000, followed by a local pullback on the background of profit taking. Today, the decline continues and price have already been firmly entrenched in this zone. Negative sentiment persists-however shorts are dangerous at these levels because the market is oversold. We recommend to wait for a local upward pullback to open short positions. Before the weekend, we expect that bulls will fix profits on the dollar and a kind of pullback will follow in entire foreign exchange market. The closest resistance level is in the area of 1.3080-1.3090.
Trading recommendations - shorts in the zone 1.3080-1.3090
USD / JPY
The growth of the pair continues-this market demonstrates a steady upward rally. Yesterday, a new local maximum was identified in zone 113.14, which is the local resistance now. Operative, more significant resistance as well as the purpose of the current rally is located in zone 113.40. With more local pullbacks ahead, we can open new longs, but the proximity of 113.40 level must be taken into consideration, once reached this will activates profit-taking and local decline.
Trading recommendations - longs with target 113.40
AUD / USD
This instrument is traded in a narrow consolidation zone, limited by 0.7335-0.7430 / 0.7446. We expect that the range dynamics will continue, and in this situation, it is wise to trade inside the channel. Short-term longs from the bottom of the range with the target of 0.7400 are interesting.
Trade recommendations- longs in the zone 0.7330
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Wednesday, 18 July 2018
Crypto market capitalization approached $ 300 billion
The volume of the bitcoins, the main crypt-currency in the world market, grew by $ 18 billion over the past week, which supports the current rally that was initiated yesterday. On Tuesday trading session, the first crypto currency broke through the resistance zone $ 6,700 and in potent momentum reached $ 7,400 level. Today, the market growth continued, and the daily high was indicated in the $ 7,552 zone. Meanwhile, the growth of the digital market capitalization is also continuing. On Wednesday, shortly before the start of the American trading session, bitcoin capitalization rose to a mark of 127 billion, an increase of 10 percent over the past 24 hours. The total capitalization of the entire crypto currency market reached the level of $ 296 billion.
Positive market dynamics in the bitcoins market provoked a kind of mini -rally in such large markets as ether, ripple, and bitcoin cash. As a rule, the price growth of bitcoin and ether leads to a greater rally in the crypto currencies with lesser capitalization. However, this time the situation develops in a different scenario. The growth of the main digital markets did not lead to a rally of smaller assets.
It is possible that investors are reluctant to take on additional risk in investing their funds in small crypto currencies in the initial period of market recovery. Especially since this growth began only 24 hours ago. It is possible that investors are taking a wait-and-see attitude, we, however, believe that in the current market and fundamental conditions to invest in bitcoin and ether is the most interesting and safe thing.
If bitcoin and the rest of the major crypto currencies manage to maintain high volumes by the end of the week, this will be a positive signal - the market needs to gain a foothold above the $ 300 billion of capitalization to attract even more funds. And if the main support levels ($ 6,700 and $ 480) for two cryptos keep the markets above in the event of profit taking pullbacks, it is likely that the markets will soon take the next step, the storm of psychological marks in the $ 8000 and $ 600 dollars, respectively.
https://www.fortfs.com
Tuesday, 17 July 2018
Crypto TS,17/07/18
Bitcoin once again approached the strategic resistance at $ 6,700, the rally ahead
Positive sentiment remains on the bitcoin market, as today the price of the first digital currency once again has approached the strategic resistance $ 6,700. This zone does not allow the market move higher since June 11 and represents a strong resistance. Well this might be a positive factor for the bulls, once this level is broken, the mark will turn into strong support, which will attract even more buyers. This is the third approach of the market to storm this level in the last six weeks. We can only wait for the development of events; a rapid break through this level with a high probability will attract additional volume to the market and may start the medium-term uptrend that is long awaited by the crypto community.
Trading recommendations- longs once $ 6 700 broken
The ethereum has formed a reversal double bottom pattern, waiting for a impulse in the $ 526 zone
After yesterday's strong growth, today the ether has slightly adjusted. However, it trades close to the strategic resistance $ 480. The situation is identical to the picture on the bitcoin chart-the market retain a positive sentiment from the beginning of the week, but instead of the reversal figure "head and shoulders" a reversal pattern "double bottom" was formed. Well, in case of its implementation, we can expect the pair to grow up to $ 526 per coin.
Trading recommendations - buy when passing resistance $ 480
https://www.fortfs.com
FX TS, 17/07/18
EUR / USD - the pair approaches the upper border of the sideway range
The situation in this market practically did not change during Monday trading session. The pair continues the restrained growth towards the upper limit of the wide sideway range, which is the $ 1.1755- $ 1.1760 zone. We also see this level as a significant level of resistance, so new longs at current levels are extremely risky. It is also risky to sell at current levels.
Trading recommendations-out of the market
GBP / USD - uncertainty persists
Despite the impressive Friday upward pullback off 1.3080, the pair could not gain a foothold above resistance level 1.3270 - the most important resistance for the continuation of positive dynamics. In early Tuesday trading, the pair is consolidating in a narrow range between 1.3270-1.3210. The situation is not completely clear as well. It is better to wait for the development of today's session event-Jerome Powel speech, but we are looking forward the downward movement to resume.
Trading recommendations - accurate shorts from 1.3275
USD / JPY pullbacks to the nearest support area
After an impressive growth, the pair reached a local maximum in the 112.70 zone. Correction followed and the pair rolled back to area 112.20. How strong is this local support? The development of the situation will depend on the US dollar. Taking into account the recent rally and market overbought - we assume to remain out of the market for some time. The next support is located in the zone 111.90.
Trading recommendations - out of the market
Gold - traded near the local bottom - level 1240
The pressure on gold persists for the last two days. However, the strategic support level of $ 1240- $ 1239 looks firm, and we can expect a local upward pullback on the background of the oversold market.
Trade recommendations- longs in the $ 1239- $ 1240 zone
https://www.fortfs.com
Monday, 16 July 2018
Crypto TS
Bitcoin displays a positive start of the trading week
The third week in a row, the crypto currency market opens with a growth. We do not forget that the crypto currencies are traded at the weekend. So it is on Sunday's trading that capitalization rised and prices ganed. It is interesting fact that markets start the trading like this third week in a row. Bitcoin strengthened in the $ 6430 zone, which is the former support, and now the level of resistance. The breakthrough of this level will send the price upprt for testing the main resistance - the $ 6770 zone.
Trading recommendations – once breaking through $ 6400 we will go long
Ethereum - support for 430 proved its strength, positive signal
The trading situation on the ether chart has becomes more and more interesting. The second digital currency also positively starts the day. It is important that the support level of $ 430 has not been broken, and this is a very positive signal. The current upward impulse looks promising. Support in the $ 440 area. The strategic resistance is all the same, this is the $ 480 zone.
https://www.fortfs.com
Friday, 13 July 2018
Crypto TS, 13/07/18
Bitcoin - uncertainty in the market remains
Bitcoin found new local support in the $ 6,100 zone from where the bulls moved into a counterattack or the sellers just fixed the profit. $ 6100 zone is the last obstacle of the market on the way to the local bottom in the area of $ 5800 from June 29.
Trade recommendations- out of the market
Ethereum - Buyers hold defense around $ 430
The situation in the ether market has not changed in the last trading day. The instrument is still above $ 430 and if the bulls can close the day above this level, this will be a certain victory.
Trade recommendations- longs in the $ 430 area
https://www.fortfs.com
Thursday, 12 July 2018
Forex TS, 12/07/18
EUR / USD seems to move for consolidation within $ 1.1555- $ 1.1755 range
Yesterday, amid rising sales in stock markets, US dollar resumed its growth. The session for the dollar turned out to be volatile, but as a result, the dollar index strengthened in the 94.45 points area overcoming resistance of sellers near the mark of 94.20 points. For the European currency, losses were minimal and there were no significant changes in the market. The pair's decline was suspended at the level of $ 1.1680, where strategic Fibonacci support 38.2% is located. The price formed a wide sideway channel with the borders of $ 1.1555 (1.1610) - $ 1.1755. We can open long positions in the region of 1.1680 and lower down to $ 1.1640
Trade recommendations- longs in the zone 1.1680 - 1.1640
GBP / USD is still a very technical market
This market has always been very analyzable in terms of technical analysis. Something similar happened this time as the market checked all closest levels. The pair could not overcome resistance 1.3280 for three days and eventually pulled lower from this mark. However, support at 1.3200 also stood firm. It is more likely that the pair will move to consolidation within this narrow range while maintaining a negative scenario.
Trade recommendations - shorts from 1.3280
USD / JPY – broken the strategic resistance starting in 2015
Yesterday, a significant event for this market took place, the pair embarked on a breakthrough in the strategic level of resistance, a descending line that began in 2015 at JPY125.40. When the pair moves to some pullback, we can open long positions. The medium-term goal of this upward impulse is zone 113.50.
Gold - a decline in the area of $ 1245 is a good opportunity for more medium-term longs
Despite the growing tension in the world and higher equity volatility amid risk-off mode, Wednesday trading session turned out to be very negative for gold amid the growth of the US currency. The sellers pushed local support at $ 1252 and dropped prices to $ 1245. We believe that gold will also move into the mode of sideway trade with ranges of $ 1240- $ 1252- $ 1260. Let's see how events will develop further.
Trading recommendation – longs at current levels
https://www.fortfs.com
Wednesday, 11 July 2018
Crypto TS, 11/07/18
Bitcoin forms the reversal pattern "Head and shoulders"
Yesterday's sale led the market price to the second-local support area of $ 6,245, where the market stabilized somewhat. The level of $ 6,240 seems to be an interesting mark. If the market holds above this level, we will get a reversal technical pattern of head and shoulders. The situation is interesting in technical terms.
Trading recommendations- we are looking to buy in the $ 6 245 zone
Ethereum-the market dropped into the strategic support zone
The decline in this market also stopped. The market dropped to the level of strategic support ($ 435), originating in the zone $ 135 a year ago. The situation is not simple and interesting as well, if we take into account only considerations of a technical nature, then the opening of long positions at these levels is very attractive.
Trading recommendations – longs in the $ 435 zone
https://www.fortfs.com
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