Friday, 7 April 2017
Weekly Outlook: Apr 10 - Apr 14
The week will start with almost no relevant macroeconomic data, so expect markets to shift their focus into commodities or the political agenda. In the day, UK’s Retail Sales Monitor will be released by the British Retail Consortium as of 23:00 GMT.
Europe: UK’s consumer price index for March will be available as of 08:30 GMT, together with the producer price index input. Investors will pay close attention to these reports as inflation is a key measurement for the Bank of England and a true guideline for monetary policy. In Germany, ZEW current conditions and economic sentiment are due to be published at 09:00 GMT. The euro zone will also present its latest reading of industrial production, with expectations of a 0.1 percent increase in February.
United States: If you thought last Friday was enough of employment data for now, sorry to tell you, there is more. JOLTs jobs openings for February are set to be released at 14:00 GMT. This report is issued by the US Labor Department and it collects information on jobs openings, hires, recruiting activities and other aspects. As market players are looking for hints on the timing of the next interest rate move, any employment data is expected to have a strong impact.
Asia: China’s CPI and PPI are scheduled for release as of 01:30 GMT, with a 1.0 percent and 7.6 percent build respectively for March.
Europe: a new set of employment data is coming up in the United Kingdom. Average earnings, claimant count change and unemployment rate are all set at 08:30 GMT. Reports could have a significant weight on the pound as investors await for further economic reports to understand Brexit influences over the economy.
United States: export and import price indexes for March are due to be released as of 12:30 GMT, with expectations standing at 0.1 percent in both cases. Also, the US Energy Information Administration will present its weekly report on crude and refined products inventories at 14:30 GMT, after a surprising increase of 1.566 million barrels in the week ended March 31. The Federal Reserve will publish its budget balance for March at 18:00 GMT.
Asia: exports and imports volumes for March, together with trade balance figures from China will be available as early as 06:00 GMT. Exports are expected to grow in 3.2 percent, while imports are settled for a 18.0 percent build. Trade superavit may come close to $10 billion.
Europe: Germany will presents its March CPI index at 06:00 GMT, with expectations at a 0.2 percent increase. Switzerland’s PPI is due at 07:15 GMT.
United States: as markets will remain closed on Good Friday, some economic reports have been reassigned a day earlier. Consumer price index for March is set to be released at 12:30 GMT, with a 0.1 percent advance seen and a 0.2 percent build for the core index. Retail sales are expected by the same time, with an estimated growth of 0.3 percent last month. Business inventories for February will be out at 14:00 GMT. Analysts forecasted a 0.3 percent jump.
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